Last week’s Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence survey showed a strong rise, following the same trend as the Westpac/Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment.
It was the second consecutive rise after the November interest rate hike and follows last week’s strong jobs figure. Throw in the falling oil price and you have continued pressure on interest rates.
We’ve already seen four rate rises since the John Howard was returned in 2004 after asking “Who do you trust to keep interest rates low?” That “low” has become “lower” as rates have risen a full percentage point. And yet another survey is pointing to more pain.
The TD Securities-Melbourne Institute monthly inflation gauge rose 0.3% last month, following a 0.2% rise in November. Their chief economist, Stephen Koukoulas, warns that inflation remains stubbornly high, making a compelling case for another interest rate rise.
All eyes will now be on official interest rate figures due next week.
Crikey is committed to hosting lively discussions. Help us keep the conversation useful, interesting and welcoming. We aim to publish comments quickly in the interest of promoting robust conversation, but we’re a small team and we deploy filters to protect against legal risk. Occasionally your comment may be held up while we review, but we’re working as fast as we can to keep the conversation rolling.
The Crikey comment section is members-only content. Please subscribe to leave a comment.
The Crikey comment section is members-only content. Please login to leave a comment.