As some of us suggested last week, the Prime Minister’s sojourn in western Sydney and her focus on foreign workers and gun crime appears to have delivered some short-term respite for the government.
But the Prime Minister’s difficulty is she needs to keep creating circuit-breakers and knocking the political conversation off-course and onto what she wants to talk about. So what next?
Well, the issue of privatisation remains a potentially potent one for a beleaguered federal government.
Polling yesterday from Essential Research again confirmed the depth of public animosity toward privatisation, with 58% of voters believing privatisation is a bad idea. And while Liberal voters were most likely to support privatisation and Greens the least, in practice there was little difference: 54% of Liberal voters think privatisation is a bad idea compared to 70% of Greens voters. There are few economic issues where there is so little difference between voters of different parties.
And support for privatisation is particularly, and unsurprisingly, low in Queensland, where just 15% of voters think it’s a good idea.
In late 2011, Essential asked voters how they felt about the big economic reforms of the last 30 years, and whether they wanted to reverse any. The responses suggested there were three kinds of reforms: those that the public enthusiastically supported (compulsory superannuation and Medicare), ones they had mixed views on, but by and large supported (the GST, floating the dollar, free trade agreements) and ones they think were bad — the privatisation of Telstra, Qantas and the Commonwealth Bank.
In fact such was the antipathy to those privatisations that there was net support for buying back all three — the only major reforms voters wanted to reverse. Even the once-loathed GST, after more than a decade, has embedded itself in the national psyche. But not privatisation. It’s the economic reform that has never stuck with the electorate.
The basis for the dislike of privatisation is simple: voters don’t think there are any benefits to themselves or even to governments — they think most of the benefits flow to private companies.
At best, this is a huge failure by both the political class and the private owners of major assets like Qantas and Telstra. Privatisations are ostensibly for the benefit of voters, who obtain better services provided more efficiently by the private sector, and indirectly via greater economic efficiency. Voters, however, tend only to see Qantas systematically debauching its services and trashing its brand, or Telstra behaving like a profit-obsessed monopolist rather than just an engineering-obsessed monopolist, or the Commonwealth Bank gouging its customers.
The issue should thus be a fruitful one for Labor to exploit. The federal Coalition remains committed to the sale of Medibank Private (an eminently sensible policy) and the Queensland government has just unveiled a health policy focused on outsourcing and privatising health services, even before Peter Costello’s Commission of Audit spruiked selling everything else north of the border.
Labor’s problem, of course, is its own long history of privatisation. Qantas and the Commonwealth Bank were its privatisations. Its current policy is to eventually privatise the NBN. The NSW party tore itself apart over electricity privatisations. The Bligh government boldly embraced privatisation to shore up its financial position, and was punished with an historic loss. Bligh’s adoption of privatisation remains a sore point within the federal party, where it was regarded as both damaging to Labor’s brand and electorally suicidal.
As with its campaign on 457 visas, a Labor campaign on privatisation would be a partial repudiation of its commitment to an open market economy, although it could rhetorically distinguish between privatisating core infrastructure and outsourcing traditional government services. But this is a government very much in short-term mode at the moment.
‘Even after’ is, I think, the wrong construction. It might be better framed as ‘having experienced the results of privatisation over thirty years’ people are not impressed.
As for ‘outsourcing’, let’s start with various IT train-wrecks (cost or performance, which failure is worse?) across the jurisdictions. Or maybe transport ticketing systems . . .
Bernard, repudiation of privatisation is not opposition to an open market economy. It is repudiation of the neo-liberal agenda, which has fastened ideologically on the welfare theorms of neo-classical economics. This ideology urges not only open markets where they work well, as with the more or less competitive markets for electronic goods, computers, cars etc, but pathetically tries to extend markets and an ideology of capitalist management into areas where markets are not very competitive and do not work very well.
This farce is played out, with encouragement from the federal bureaucracy, in universities, which get no advantage from being run as though they are businesses, with grossly overpaid executives and top down management directed by people who do not really know what they are managing.This is not to deny that some institutions, such as the Post Office, can operate well along business lines.
The same applies to privatisation. Replacement of a government monopoly with a private monopoly has only one effect: customers tend to get gouged with higher prices and employees tend to have their wages and conditions beaten down. So the public is quite right about privatisation being simply for the benefit of private investors.
This is not so say that privatisation never works. Private competitive tendering to operate facilities can work but its main effect is again to lower wages and conditions of employees and to diminish public control of the facility, since the operators are only bound by contract conditions.
So, the Queensland public has got it largely right. Privatisation is usually a hand out to private interests at public expense.
The NBN network need never be privatised. That the ALP plans to do this is a sign that they are captive to neo-liberal ideology, which Latham recently bowed to, no doubt to let Murdoch know that he might be an acceptable future Labor leader, who will never need to be hounded out of office by that loss making propaganda rag, the Australian, and its offshoot, the Daily Telegraph.
The sad thing is that the necessary spending to keep Australia out of recession after the GFC is now viewed by many as the Australian set out to show it by never mentioning any of its successes and beating up any shortcomings (when governments act, they must be 100% successful, which is a much higher standard than private businesses set). Even the worst managed of the programs, to employ unskilled workers to put insulation in roofs, has shown down the track benefits, as the fall in demand for electricity has shown.
So, yes, repudiation of privatisation might be a good idea for Labor, but they too seem to be in the grip of neo-liberal ideology, and so might not take this opportunity, even if it would improve their chances in the election, if only neo-liberal ideologists like Murdoch don’t attack them for all they worth. After all, the barrage at the beginning of the year did put a dent in the ALP vote and we can expect the same when the election looms. Crises, chaos, incompetence will all be beat up for all they are worth.
Holden Back, I agree. Perhaps Crikey could writean article eplaining exactly where privatisation has ever improved services for voters. Increased competition (in telecommunications) is one matter but Quantas,CBA, and electricity privatisation its hard to see any compelling benefit to privatisation
Is there such a thing as a privatised service that is more efficient and cheaper than the government owned service. At best they’re just as bad.
When we privatised the commonwealth bank we lost the only “honest broker” in the field and frankly, at least the engineering obsessed Telecom left us some very high quality infrastructure not to mention all the technical staff that Telecom used to train.
Jim
Has the I.P.A. taken over Bernard Keane? As I stare at my now tripled power bill since the freedom and joy of privatisation of our power supply I will never be convinced of the benefits of selling the farm forever to pay down short term debt.
The private sector is not the answer.